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Ballymena vs Bangor FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Ballymena Showgrounds
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rutkowski I.
Penalty Missed
5'
Haughey M.
26'
Devlin O.

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Bangor FC in the NIFL Premiership 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bangor FC have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Ballymena have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Ballymena have won 2 to Bangor FC's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.44) back Ballymena to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballymena
6%
Draws
4%
Bangor FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangor FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ballymena.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ballymena.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 16%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Bangor FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Bangor FC
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Ballymena
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Ballymena
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Bangor FC
4:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Ballymena vs Bangor FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 84 / 100
Bangor FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Bangor FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Bangor FC let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ballymena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bangor FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Bangor FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Carrick Rangers381581564:5853
8Portadown381352044:6644
9Ballymena381091946:5839
10Bangor FC381091941:6539
11Crusaders381062248:8136
12Glenavon38842637:6928