Sport Picks
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland
NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena 
Match Events
11'
11'
McKee C.
46'
46'
Sub
Archer J. In: Edogun S.
Out: Archer J.
46'
46'
Sub
Thorndike F. In: Murray S.
Out: Thorndike F.
AI Match Summary
The NIFL Premiership game between Ballymena and Carrick Rangers finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carrick Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 13%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer Rutkowski I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Carrick Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Steele A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 31 / 100
Carrick Rangers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Carrick Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Carrick Rangers conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Carrick Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Carrick Rangers
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2 Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2 Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1 Ballymena
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
Page 1 of 3
Carrick Rangers
(Away) 15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3 Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4 Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2 Coleraine
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0 Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4 Carrick Rangers
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2 Carrick Rangers
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Linfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Larne | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 13 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Dungannon | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Limavady | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:16 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | 1 |
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)
