Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Glentoran in the NIFL Premiership. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ballymena have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Glentoran's 2 scored and 2.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Ballymena have won 0 to Glentoran's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.50 - 1.69) back Glentoran to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballymena
6%
Draws
4%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ballymena taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Glentoran here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 13%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Glentoran
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
0:2
Mar 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
1:0
Feb 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 84 / 100
Glentoran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ballymena scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Glentoran has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Glentoran
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1
Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
26 Jun
East Belfast
1 : 8
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)