Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Thomson J.
40'
McKee C.
46'
Sub
Jenkins J. In: Gallagher B.
Out: Jenkins J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Ballymena and Glentoran finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glentoran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ballymena
35%
Draws
37%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ballymena taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Glentoran here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 18%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Glentoran
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glentoran
0:2
Mar 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Ballymena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 36 / 100
Glentoran 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Glentoran let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Glentoran
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)