Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
O'Neill P.
56'
56'
Edogun S.
72'
72'
Millar L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballymena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Larne come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Ballymena taking it.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Larne have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Feb 3, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Ballymena
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer Edogun S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Neill P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Millar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 95 / 100
Larne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).
Ballymena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Larne registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Larne
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3 Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1 Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2 Ballymena
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5 Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
15 Apr
Ballymena
0 : 0 Bangor FC
07 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 1 Glenavon
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4 Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
20 Jun
Stranraer
0 : 0 Larne
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3
