Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Larne

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Larne in the NIFL Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Larne have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Ballymena have conceded 1.13 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.50, favoring Larne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballymena
6%
Draws
4%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Larne come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 16%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Larne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Feb 3, 2026 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Larne
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Larne
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Ballymena
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 84 / 100
Larne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ballymena scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Larne conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Larne
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1
Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
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Larne

(Away)
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0
Coleraine
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
Larne
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)