Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ballymena host Larne in the NIFL Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Larne have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Ballymena have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.94, favoring Larne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Larne come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Larne has conceded goals in 41% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home)Larne
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Linfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Larne | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 13 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Dungannon | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 9 | Limavady | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:16 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | 1 |
