Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Linfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Linfield in the NIFL Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ballymena at 2 goals for, 1.25 against; Linfield at 1.46 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor Linfield slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Linfield to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ballymena
15%
Draws
44%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Linfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 18%
Linfield Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Linfield
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Jan 28, 2026 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs Ballymena
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Ballymena
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Linfield
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 32 / 100
Linfield 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Linfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ballymena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Linfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Linfield
2 : 0
Bangor FC
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 13 4 2 7 13:19 14
11 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)