Sport Picks
Ballymena vs Lisburn Distillery
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2023/2024 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena 
Match Events
25'
25'
O'Boyle F.
30'
30'
Gawne A.
37'
37'
McMurray J.
AI Match Summary
Ballymena in this Irish League Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lisburn Distillery
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ballymena lately — more wins on the board than Lisburn Distillery.
- Model gives Ballymena a 36% chance of winning this.
- Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ballymena here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 20%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Lisburn Distillery |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 3.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Lisburn Distillery
4:0
Jul 16, 2015 Club Friendly
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena
0:6
Apr 16, 2013 NIFL Premiership
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena
0:2
Dec 29, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Lisburn Distillery
3:3
Oct 20, 2012 NIFL Premiership
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymena
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer McMurray J.
2 Goals Assists Leader O'Boyle F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Lisburn Distillery Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 36 / 100
Lisburn Distillery 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Lisburn Distillery
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ballymena scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Lisburn Distillery has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Solid form: Ballymena remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2 Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2 Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1 Ballymena
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
Page 1 of 3
Lisburn Distillery
(Away) 13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3 Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2 Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1 Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2 Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2 Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3 Lisburn Distillery
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1 Lisburn Distillery
28 Jan
Ballyclare
4 : 1 Lisburn Distillery
13 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Lisburn Distillery
03 Oct
Ballymena
4 : 0 Lisburn Distillery
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Limavady 6
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Portadown -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Annagh -
TBD -
Portstewart 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
PSNI 0
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 4
Lisburn Distillery 0
Coleraine 2
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Dundela 0
Glenavon 2
Dergview 1
Portadown 4
Coagh Utd 1
Warrenpoint 0
Crusaders 5
Annagh 4
Portstewart 1
Loughgall 3
Ballyclare 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 1
Cliftonville 3
Institute 0
Carrick Rangers 4
Moyola 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Newry City 2
Ballinamallard 1
Ards 5
Larne 9
Knockbreda 1
Dollingstown 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Queens University 1
1/8-finals
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Limavady 0
Glenavon 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 1
Annagh 0
Loughgall 1
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 3
Ards 3
Larne 5
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Larne 2
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Glenavon 0
Portadown 1
Dungannon 1
Linfield 2
Final
Portadown 1
Linfield 3
