Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balma vs Pau

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Balma Logo

Balma

2 - 3
FT
Pau Logo

Pau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Balma and Pau finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Balma
15%
Draws
36%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balma are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pau here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Balma Clean Sheet 20%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balma Pau
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Balma
3:0
Nov 28, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Pau
1:0
Apr 29, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Pau
2:3
Nov 14, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Balma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balma 58 / 100
Pau 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balma Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balma scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Pau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pau let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pau
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balma

(Home)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

Pau

(Away)
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)