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Balmaseda vs CD Ourense Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Balmaseda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Balmaseda
35%
Draws
20%
CD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ourense come out ahead of Balmaseda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • CD Ourense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Balmaseda, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda CD Ourense
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2014 Copa Federacion
Balmaseda vs CD Ourense
2:0
Feb 27, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs Balmaseda
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 32 / 100
CD Ourense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda CD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Balmaseda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Balmaseda scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CD Ourense conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Balmaseda VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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CD Ourense

(Away)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3