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Balmaseda vs Gernika Club

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Balmaseda host Gernika Club in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Balmaseda at 0 goals for, 0 against; Gernika Club at 1.38 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Balmaseda slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.24) back Gernika Club to edge this. Gernika Club in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Balmaseda
39%
Draws
31%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gernika Club has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Balmaseda.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 68%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda Gernika Club
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Gernika Club
0:0
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Balmaseda
5:0
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Gernika Club
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Gernika Club vs Balmaseda
0:2
Aug 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Gernika Club vs Balmaseda
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 41 / 100
Gernika Club 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda Gernika Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balmaseda scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Gernika Club let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Balmaseda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gernika Club lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gernika Club
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gernika Club20134339:1643
2Real Sociedad C20124448:2740
3Sestao20123540:1339
4SD Deusto20113630:2436
5Santutxu FC2085720:2329
6Beasain2069520:1427
7Tolosa2066821:2624
8Aurrera Ondarroa20551023:3120
9Balmaseda2039822:2718
10Somorrostro20451120:3117
11Urgatzi20311611:6210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Vitoria2098320:435
2Urduliz FT2098328:1835
3Pasaia2097422:1434
4Basconia2079424:1530
5Anaitasuna FT2079420:1930
6San Ignacio2078519:1929
7Santurtzi2065918:2723
8SCD Durango2057817:2022
9Sodupe2048821:2320
10CD Ariznabarra20371012:2816
11Lagun Onak20361117:3115