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Balmaseda vs SD Deusto

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Balmaseda Logo

Balmaseda

0 - 1
FT
SD Deusto Logo

SD Deusto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Deusto in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Deusto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Balmaseda
30%
Draws
19%
SD Deusto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Deusto have won more games recently than Balmaseda.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Balmaseda taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 68%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda SD Deusto
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SD Deusto
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Balmaseda
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs SD Deusto
2:2
Sep 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Balmaseda
0:1
Feb 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Balmaseda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 59 / 100
SD Deusto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda SD Deusto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Balmaseda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Balmaseda scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

SD Deusto let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Deusto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

SD Deusto

(Away)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)