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Stadium Background

Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 Baltika Stadium, Kaliningrad
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Mamedov E.
11'
Mamedov E.
11'
Mamedov E.

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baltika 2
6%
Draws
4%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baltika 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cherepovets lately — more wins on the board than Baltika 2.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Baltika 2 taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherepovets here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Baltika 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika 2 Cherepovets
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Aug 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1
May 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikitin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kulkov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 2 84 / 100
Cherepovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika 2 Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltika 2 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Cherepovets has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Cherepovets registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baltika 2 VS Cherepovets
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika 2

(Home)
28 Jun
Yenisey 2
1 : 6
Baltika 2
21 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow
14 Jun
Kosmos
1 : 2
Baltika 2
07 Jun
Baltika 2
1 : 3
Dynamo Petersburg
31 May
Cherepovets
1 : 0
Baltika 2
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Cherepovets

(Away)
05 Jul
Luki-Energiya
3 : 0
Cherepovets
28 Jun
Cherepovets
0 : 2
Zvezda St Peterburg
21 Jun
Vladimir
1 : 0
Cherepovets
14 Jun
Cherepovets
1 : 2
FC Irkutsk
07 Jun
Dynamo Vologda
2 : 2
Cherepovets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg 228234160:2073
2Dynamo Vologda28185551:2859
3FC Irkutsk28128841:3444
4Spartak Moscow 2281351042:3244
5Baltika 2281010846:3740
6Vladimir28812827:2936
7FK Tver28991036:4036
8Saturn Ramenskoye28981138:4535
9Cherepovets28961335:4333
10FC Chertanovo Moscow28881243:4532
11Zvezda St Peterburg287101141:4531
12Luki-Energiya28791226:3130
13Kosmos28781332:3729
14Yenisey 228671528:5825
15FK Kolomna284111323:4523
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)