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Baltika U19 vs FK Rostov U19

Russia Russia

Youth League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltika U19 play FK Rostov U19 in the Youth League 2025. FK Rostov U19 are favorites here. Recently, Baltika U19 averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. FK Rostov U19 averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Baltika U19 won 0, FK Rostov U19 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 31, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Baltika U19 and 2.63 for FK Rostov U19. This points to a FK Rostov U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Baltika U19
23%
Draws
64%
FK Rostov U19
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FK Rostov U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Baltika U19 picked up more points recently compared to FK Rostov U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Baltika U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Rostov U19 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika U19 FK Rostov U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Youth League
Baltika U19 vs FK Rostov U19
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 Youth League
FK Rostov U19 vs Baltika U19
0:0
Aug 18, 2023 Youth League
FK Rostov U19 vs Baltika U19
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

FK Rostov U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika U19 14 / 100
FK Rostov U19 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika U19 FK Rostov U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Rostov U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Rostov U19 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baltika U19 attacking → ← attacking FK Rostov U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltika U19 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FK Rostov U19 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Baltika U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Rostov U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 57
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zenit St Petersburg U1930221789:2967
2CSKA Moscow U1930213665:3066
3Krasnodar U1930204687:3664
4Lokomotiv Moscow U1930196551:1763
5FK Rostov U1930158748:2953
6Dynamo Moscow U1930158751:4753
7Spartak Moscow U19301371046:3846
8Rubin Kazan U19301081236:4238
9Konoplev Academy U19301131642:6036
10FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19308101237:3934
11Fakel Voronezh U1930961535:5433
12Ural U1930941740:7731
13Sochi U19306101431:5128
14Krylya Sovetov Samara U1930751842:6426
15Akhmat Grozny U1930642023:6222
16Baltika U1930352222:7014