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Baltika vs FK Rostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltika host FK Rostov in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Baltika at 1.64 goals for, 1.04 against; FK Rostov at 1.14 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, Baltika have won 1 to FK Rostov's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring Baltika. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Baltika
15%
Draws
51%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Rostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • FK Rostov haven't matched Baltika's recent run of results.
  • Baltika are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Baltika Clean Sheet 20%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika FK Rostov
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Baltika
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs FK Rostov
0:0
May 19, 2024 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Baltika
2:1
May 2, 2024 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs Baltika
0:1
Sep 16, 2023 Premier League
Baltika vs FK Rostov
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 58 / 100
FK Rostov 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika FK Rostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltika scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

FK Rostov let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FK Rostov lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS FK Rostov
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika

(Home)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
Page 1 of 6

FK Rostov

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0
CSKA Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
10 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
11 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
12 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)