Sport Picks
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
Russia
Russian Cup Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad 
Match Events
20'
20'
30'
30'
Civic E.
30'
30'
Talalaev A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Baltika lately — more wins on the board than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
- Win probability leans Baltika's way, sitting at 42%.
- Baltika have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Krylya Sovetov Samara, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baltika Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baltika | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baltika 42 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baltika Krylya Sovetov Samara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Krylya Sovetov Samara conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Baltika scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Baltika stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Baltika VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Baltika
(Home) 16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
24 Aug
Baltika
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
20 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Away) 16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
23 Aug
Akron Togliatti
0 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
04 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
