Sport Picks

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Baltimore vs Fica

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National
Fri, May 23, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltimore host Fica in the Championnat National. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Fica have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Baltimore have conceded 0.56 and scored 0.81. Head-to-head, Baltimore have won 2 to Fica's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.50, favoring Baltimore. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Baltimore
35%
Draws
19%
Fica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Baltimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baltimore come out ahead of Fica on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baltimore's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Baltimore Clean Sheet 20%
Fica Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltimore Fica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.81 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.56 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Fica
0:0
Nov 5, 2020 Championnat National
Fica vs Baltimore
0:1
Oct 13, 2019 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Fica
0:0
Apr 7, 2019 Championnat National
Fica vs Baltimore
0:1
Sep 20, 2018 Championnat National
Fica vs Baltimore
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltimore 67 / 100
Fica 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltimore Fica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltimore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltimore scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Baltimore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Baltimore VS Fica
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltimore

(Home)
26 Jul
Baltimore
:
Helenites
11 May
Baltimore
2 : 0
Tempete
04 May
Triomphe Liancourt
0 : 1
Baltimore
27 Apr
Tempete
0 : 0
Baltimore
20 Apr
Baltimore
2 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
Page 1 of 6

Fica

(Away)
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
04 May
Fica
0 : 2
AS Capoise
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Capoise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
2 Fica 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Baltimore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tempete 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Violette 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 America des Cayes 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Don Bosco 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Championnat National (Play Offs)