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Baltimore vs Racing des Gonaives Prediction & H2H Stats

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Baltimore and Racing des Gonaives finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing des Gonaives.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Baltimore
30%
Draws
31%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baltimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Racing des Gonaives haven't matched Baltimore's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baltimore's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Baltimore Clean Sheet 20%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltimore Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 13
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.77 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.55 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Racing des Gonaives
0:2
Oct 11, 2020 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Baltimore
1:1
Nov 3, 2019 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs Baltimore
0:0
Apr 29, 2019 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Racing des Gonaives
0:1
Nov 4, 2018 Championnat National
Baltimore vs Racing des Gonaives
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltimore 49 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltimore Racing des Gonaives

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltimore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltimore scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Baltimore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Racing des Gonaives has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Baltimore VS Racing des Gonaives
0.63 Goals Scored 1.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltimore

(Home)
26 Jul
Baltimore
:
Helenites
11 May
Baltimore
2 : 0
Tempete
04 May
Triomphe Liancourt
0 : 1
Baltimore
27 Apr
Tempete
0 : 0
Baltimore
20 Apr
Baltimore
2 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
Page 1 of 7

Racing des Gonaives

(Away)
28 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
1 : 0
Fica
21 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
3 : 2
Ouanaminthe
14 Apr
Real Hope
3 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
10 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
30 Mar
Fica
0 : 0
Racing des Gonaives
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)