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Baltyk Koszalin vs Chemik Police

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mykhailovskyi I.
Penalty Missed
44' Event
Midzio M.
60' Event
Gregorek M.

AI Match Summary

Chemik Police in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemik Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Baltyk Koszalin
30%
Draws
34%
Chemik Police
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baltyk Koszalin lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Police.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 15%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Chemik Police
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:3
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Chemik Police
2:3
Jun 14, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Chemik Police
3:1
Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group I
Chemik Police vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregorek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Midzio M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chyrek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 35 / 100
Chemik Police 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Chemik Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Chemik Police has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Baltyk Koszalin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762