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Baltyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Krauze A.
36' Event
Dowgiallo S.
68' Event
Stepnik M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Baltyk Koszalin and Gedania Gdansk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baltyk Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baltyk Koszalin
30%
Draws
37%
Gedania Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gedania Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Baltyk Koszalin have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Gedania Gdansk are scoring more at 1.79.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Baltyk Koszalin taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 15%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Gedania Gdansk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Gedania Gdansk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Krauze A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowgiallo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 48 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Gedania Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltyk Koszalin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gedania Gdansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Baltyk Koszalin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Baltyk Koszalin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Gedania Gdansk
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Gedania Gdansk

(Away)
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)