Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baltyk Koszalin vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Gorka H.
90'
Zakrzewski B.
90' Event
Gruchala-Wesierski D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltyk Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Baltyk Koszalin
33%
Draws
40%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Konin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baltyk Koszalin lately — more wins on the board than Gornik Konin.
  • Gornik Konin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Gornik Konin
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:4
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
1:0
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 28 / 100
Gornik Konin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Gornik Konin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Gornik Konin let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Baltyk Koszalin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Gornik Konin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762