Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Zulicki O.
67' Event
Szulc H.
82' Event
Cybulski S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Baltyk Koszalin and Swinoujscie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Baltyk Koszalin
20%
Draws
10%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baltyk Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baltyk Koszalin come out ahead of Swinoujscie on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baltyk Koszalin a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 19%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Swinoujscie
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Swinoujscie vs Baltyk Koszalin
1:2
Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Swinoujscie
2:4
Nov 14, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulicki O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Szulc H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cybulski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltyk Koszalin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Baltyk Koszalin scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Baltyk Koszalin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Swinoujscie
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Swinoujscie

(Away)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)