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Baltyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzedz Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin host Unia Swarzedz in the III Liga - Group II. This one's hard to separate. Baltyk Koszalin have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Unia Swarzedz's 1.97 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Baltyk Koszalin have won 1 to Unia Swarzedz's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2021, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.13) back Unia Swarzedz to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Baltyk Koszalin
20%
Draws
40%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz have won more games recently than Baltyk Koszalin.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 20%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Aug 15, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 28 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Baltyk Koszalin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Unia Swarzedz conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Baltyk Koszalin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Unia Swarzedz
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)