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Baltyk Koszalin vs Victoria Wrzesnia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Wiewiora M.
90' Event
Baj K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Baltyk Koszalin and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baltyk Koszalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baltyk Koszalin
35%
Draws
32%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Baltyk Koszalin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baltyk Koszalin a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Victoria Wrzesnia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiewiora M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baj K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 42 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Victoria Wrzesnia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Baltyk Koszalin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Victoria Wrzesnia
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
10 Oct
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
Unia Swarzedz
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)