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Balvu SC vs FK Limbazi

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balvu SC play FK Limbazi in the Latvian Cup 2017. FK Limbazi are favorites here. Recently, Balvu SC averaged 1 goals scored and 5.23 conceded. FK Limbazi averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.89 conceded. In past meetings, Balvu SC won 1, FK Limbazi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2017 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Balvu SC and 4.00 for FK Limbazi. This points to a FK Limbazi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Balvu SC
15%
Draws
62%
FK Limbazi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Limbazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Balvu SC picked up more points recently compared to FK Limbazi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 10%
FK Limbazi Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balvu SC FK Limbazi
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 1 2.17
Goals Conceded 5.23 3.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Latvian Cup
Balvu SC vs FK Limbazi
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balvu SC 23 / 100
FK Limbazi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balvu SC FK Limbazi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Limbazi Win (2)
Secondary Pick FK Limbazi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Balvu SC attacking → ← attacking FK Limbazi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balvu SC scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

FK Limbazi let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Balvu SC went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Limbazi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 24
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
5.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00