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Balvu SC vs Grobina

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1. Liga 2019
Balvu SC Logo

Balvu SC

1 - 3
FT
Grobina Logo

Grobina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between Balvu SC and Grobina finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Balvu SC
20%
Draws
80%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grobina come out ahead of Balvu SC on wins alone.
  • Grobina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Grobina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balvu SC Grobina
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 11
Losses 28 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 5.4 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2019 1. Liga
Grobina vs Balvu SC
7:2
Jul 20, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Grobina
1:3
Apr 20, 2019 1. Liga
Grobina vs Balvu SC
9:1
Sep 29, 2018 1. Liga
Grobina vs Balvu SC
6:1
Jun 9, 2018 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Grobina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balvu SC 10 / 100
Grobina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balvu SC Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobina let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Balvu SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Grobina has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balvu SC

(Home)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
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Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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