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Bamber Bridge vs Alfreton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Butterworth J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Bamber Bridge and Alfreton finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bamber Bridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bamber Bridge
15%
Draws
64%
Alfreton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfreton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alfreton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 10%
Alfreton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamber Bridge Alfreton
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Alfreton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bamber Bridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Butterworth J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alfreton Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamber Bridge 30 / 100
Alfreton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamber Bridge Alfreton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfreton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bamber Bridge scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Alfreton has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Bamber Bridge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bamber Bridge VS Alfreton
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamber Bridge

(Home)
03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4
Quorn
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 3
Trafford
Page 1 of 6

Alfreton

(Away)
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1
Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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