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Bamber Bridge vs Hebburn Town

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Darcy C.
70' Event
Martin G.
86' Event
Hodkin J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Bamber Bridge and Hebburn Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebburn Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bamber Bridge
20%
Draws
50%
Hebburn Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebburn Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hebburn Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hebburn Town have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 11%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamber Bridge Hebburn Town
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Hebburn Town
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Bamber Bridge
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Hebburn Town
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Bamber Bridge
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bamber Bridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodkin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hebburn Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Darcy C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamber Bridge 29 / 100
Hebburn Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamber Bridge Hebburn Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bamber Bridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bamber Bridge scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hebburn Town conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bamber Bridge stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bamber Bridge VS Hebburn Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamber Bridge

(Home)
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0
Alfreton
05 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 3
Trafford
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

Hebburn Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)