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Bamber Bridge vs Morpeth

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bollado N.
65' Event
Bone C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Bamber Bridge and Morpeth finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morpeth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bamber Bridge
20%
Draws
51%
Morpeth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morpeth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bamber Bridge haven't matched Morpeth's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bamber Bridge taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 11%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bamber Bridge Morpeth
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Morpeth
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Bamber Bridge
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Bamber Bridge
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Morpeth
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Bamber Bridge
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bamber Bridge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Morpeth Compare

Top Goalscorer Bollado N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bone C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bamber Bridge 40 / 100
Morpeth 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bamber Bridge Morpeth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bamber Bridge scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Morpeth let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Bamber Bridge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bamber Bridge VS Morpeth
0.75 Goals Scored 1.17
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bamber Bridge

(Home)
08 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
28 Jul
Ramsbottom Utd
1 : 3
Bamber Bridge
21 Jul
Thornton Cleveleys
1 : 1
Bamber Bridge
18 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 3
Morecambe
14 Jul
Preston
4 : 1
Bamber Bridge
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Morpeth

(Away)
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0
Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0
Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0
Morpeth
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)