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Bandari vs Mara Sugar

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Bandari Logo

Bandari

0 - 0
FT
Mara Sugar Logo

Mara Sugar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bandari
15%
Draws
34%
Mara Sugar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bandari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mara Sugar haven't matched Bandari's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bandari a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bandari Clean Sheet 68%
Mara Sugar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandari Mara Sugar
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.96 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Bandari vs Mara Sugar
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Bandari
0:0
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Bandari
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Bandari vs Mara Sugar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandari 51 / 100
Mara Sugar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandari Mara Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Mara Sugar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bandari's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Mara Sugar has conceded goals in 58% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 0.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bandari VS Mara Sugar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandari

(Home)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
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Mara Sugar

(Away)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)