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Banfield vs Rosario Central Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
12:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banfield host Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Banfield at 1.28 goals for, 1.31 against; Rosario Central at 1.23 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Banfield slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.38) back Rosario Central to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Banfield
30%
Draws
47%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosario Central have won more games recently than Banfield.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rosario Central taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Banfield Clean Sheet 17%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banfield Rosario Central
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Banfield
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Banfield
1:1
Jan 30, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Banfield
0:0
Aug 28, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Rosario Central
3:0
May 29, 2023 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Rosario Central
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banfield 28 / 100
Rosario Central 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banfield Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Banfield scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Rosario Central let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Banfield remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Banfield VS Rosario Central
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Banfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)