Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Diaz G. In: Renteria J.
Out: Diaz G.
46'
Sub
Gomez L. In: Sepulveda B.
Out: Gomez L.
53' Event
Perrotta T.
Assist: Zalazar D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Banfield and Sarmiento Junin finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Banfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Banfield
30%
Draws
41%
Sarmiento Junin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarmiento Junin come out ahead of Banfield on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Banfield Clean Sheet 14%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banfield Sarmiento Junin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin
3:2
Jan 30, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Banfield
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Banfield
0:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Profesional
Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrotta T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sarmiento Junin Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marabel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banfield 31 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banfield Sarmiento Junin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banfield scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sarmiento Junin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Banfield stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Banfield VS Sarmiento Junin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Banfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
14 Sept
Banfield
1 : 1
Barracas Central
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)