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Banga vs FK Panevezys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Burdzilauskas E.
61'
Sub
Antuzis V. In: Cande U.
Out: Antuzis V.
64'
Sub
van den Bos M. In: Rasimavicius R.
Out: van den Bos M.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Banga and FK Panevezys finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Panevezys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Banga
20%
Draws
56%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Panevezys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Panevezys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Panevezys here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Banga Clean Sheet 16%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga FK Panevezys
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
0:3
May 24, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Burdzilauskas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerkez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 10 / 100
FK Panevezys 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

FK Panevezys let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Banga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Banga VS FK Panevezys
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Banga

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FK Panevezys

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)