Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Supunpasuch C.
Assist: Townsend A.
45'
Supunpasuch C.
55' Event
Philipe Maia
Assist: Anan P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bangkok Utd
35%
Draws
28%
Kanchanaburi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangkok Utd lately — more wins on the board than Kanchanaburi.
  • Bangkok Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Kanchanaburi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangkok Utd Kanchanaburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Kanchanaburi vs Bangkok Utd
3:3
Jun 15, 2024 Thai FA Cup
Bangkok Utd vs Kanchanaburi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Philipe Maia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kanchanaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Supunpasuch C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangkok Utd 48 / 100
Kanchanaburi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangkok Utd Kanchanaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangkok Utd found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Kanchanaburi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Bangkok Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangkok Utd VS Kanchanaburi
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangkok Utd

(Home)
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
29 Apr
Uthai Thani
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

Kanchanaburi

(Away)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4
Kanchanaburi
10 May
Kanchanaburi
0 : 1
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)