Sport Picks
Bangkok Utd vs Pathum United Prediction & H2H Stats
Thailand
Thai League 1 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Choolthong W. In: Kaufmann F.
Out: Choolthong W.
15'
15'
Pomphan W.
Assist: Beresford J.
21'
21'
Everton
Assist: Caceres A.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 game between Bangkok Utd and Pathum United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangkok Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangkok Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Bangkok Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bangkok Utd a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bangkok Utd have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bangkok Utd | Pathum United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Pathum United
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Bangkok Utd
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Pathum United
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Pathum United
3:0
Dec 1, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Bangkok Utd
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bangkok Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Pomphan W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Everton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Raniel
1 Goals Assists Leader Verkamp P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bangkok Utd 95 / 100
Pathum United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bangkok Utd Pathum United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bangkok Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangkok Utd found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).
Pathum United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Bangkok Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bangkok Utd VS Pathum United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bangkok Utd
(Home) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1 Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1 Sisaket United
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1 Ayutthaya United
18 Apr
Bangkok Utd
1 : 4 Ratchaburi
15 Apr
Bangkok Utd
0 : 3 Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Pathum United
(Away) 20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2 Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2 Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1 Pathum United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0 Pathum United
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Port MTI FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasisalai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
