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Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bangladesh Police host Arambagh in the BFL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Bangladesh Police have averaged 1.48 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Arambagh's 0.59 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Bangladesh Police slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.56) point toward Bangladesh Police. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bangladesh Police
30%
Draws
12%
Arambagh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangladesh Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arambagh haven't matched Bangladesh Police's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bangladesh Police a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bangladesh Police have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 20%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Police Arambagh
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.94 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:3
Dec 2, 2025 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
0:1
Aug 19, 2021 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Arambagh
1:0
Feb 25, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Bangladesh Police
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 85 / 100
Arambagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Police Arambagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh Police's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Arambagh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bangladesh Police has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS Arambagh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh Police

(Home)
10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1
City Club
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 7

Arambagh

(Away)
10 Oct
Mohammedan
6 : 0
Arambagh
06 Oct
Mohammedan
3 : 1
Arambagh
03 Oct
Arambagh
2 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh Police 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Fortis 3 2 1 0 15:3 7
3 City Club 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
4 Mohammedan 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
5 Bashundara Kings 2 1 1 0 8:1 4
6 Abahani Limited Dhaka 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
7 PWD Sports Club 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Fakirerpool YMC 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
9 Rahmatgonj MFS 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Arambagh 3 0 2 1 3:9 2
11 Brothers U. 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
12 Chattogram 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
13 Dhaka Wanderers 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
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