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Bangladesh Police vs City Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Ba R.
(Penalty)
89'
Nirob S.
90' Event
Okafor O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bangladesh Police
33%
Draws
33%
City Club
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bangladesh Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bangladesh Police have won more games recently than City Club.
  • Bangladesh Police are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bangladesh Police have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 12%
City Club Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh Police City Club
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 12 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 1.41 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Federation Cup
Bangladesh Police vs City Club
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

City Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Okafor O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 83 / 100
City Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh Police City Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh Police scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

City Club let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Bangladesh Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS City Club
1.25 Goals Scored 1.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh Police

(Home)
10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1
City Club
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3
Bangladesh Police
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 6

City Club

(Away)
09 Oct
City Club
2 : 1
Chattogram
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1
City Club
03 Oct
Fortis
3 : 3
City Club
18 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 3
City Club

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 Fakirerpool YMC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Fortis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Chattogram 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Brothers U. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bashundara Kings 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Mohammedan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Bangladesh Police 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 City Club 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 PWD Sports Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Arambagh 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)