Sport Picks

Bangladesh Police vs Fakirerpool YMC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh

BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh

Match Events

16'

Mollah M.

17'

Sillah S.

22'

Bablu M.

Assist: Rabbi Hossen Rahul M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bangladesh Police host Fakirerpool YMC in the BFL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Fakirerpool YMC have shipped 2.43 goals a game lately, while Bangladesh Police have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.18. Past meetings favor Bangladesh Police slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.88 - 0.56) back Bangladesh Police to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Bangladesh Police

30%

Draws

23%

Fakirerpool YMC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangladesh Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Fakirerpool YMC haven't matched Bangladesh Police's recent run of results.
Bangladesh Police are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Bangladesh Police here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 20%

Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bangladesh Police	Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	4
Draws	10	6
Losses	7	18
Goals Scored	1.18	0.82
Goals Conceded	1.07	2.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 BFL

Fakirerpool YMC vs Bangladesh Police

1:3

Dec 6, 2025 BFL

Bangladesh Police vs Fakirerpool YMC

1:1

Apr 11, 2025 BFL

Fakirerpool YMC vs Bangladesh Police

0:3

Dec 7, 2024 BFL

Bangladesh Police vs Fakirerpool YMC

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba R.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Bablu M.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51

Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh Police 76 / 100

Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bangladesh Police Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Police Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakirerpool YMC has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh Police scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Bangladesh Police went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh Police VS Fakirerpool YMC

1.38 Goals Scored 0.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History