Sport Picks
Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bangladesh
BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Marcelinho Jr In: Ba R.
Out: Marcelinho Jr
46'
46'
Sub
Mollah M. In: Nirob S.
Out: Mollah M.
46'
46'
Sub
Moin M. I. In: Arian H.
Out: Moin M. I.
AI Match Summary
Bangladesh Police in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangladesh Police.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangladesh Police
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bangladesh Police lately — more wins on the board than Rahmatgonj MFS.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh Police taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bangladesh Police Clean Sheet 68%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bangladesh Police | Rahmatgonj MFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:0
May 23, 2026 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Bangladesh Police
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:1
May 27, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Bangladesh Police
4:1
Jan 24, 2025 BFL
Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bangladesh Police Compare
Top Goalscorer Faysal I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Rahmatgonj MFS Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bangladesh Police 95 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bangladesh Police Rahmatgonj MFS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bangladesh Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangladesh Police's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Rahmatgonj MFS has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Bangladesh Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bangladesh Police VS Rahmatgonj MFS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bangladesh Police
(Home) 10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0 Fakirerpool YMC
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1 City Club
02 Oct
Chattogram
0 : 3 Bangladesh Police
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
11 Aug
Al Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0 Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0 Fakirerpool YMC
06 Oct
Bangladesh Police
1 : 1 City Club
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0 Arambagh
01 May
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0 PWD Sports Club
Page 1 of 4
Rahmatgonj MFS
(Away) 09 Oct
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 1 PWD Sports Club
03 Oct
Arambagh
2 : 2 Rahmatgonj MFS
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0 Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Arambagh
2 : 2 Rahmatgonj MFS
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0 Rahmatgonj MFS
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1 Rahmatgonj MFS
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2 Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fortis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:3 | 7 |
| 3 | City Club | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Mohammedan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Bashundara Kings | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Abahani Limited Dhaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PWD Sports Club | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Fakirerpool YMC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 9 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 10 | Arambagh | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 11 | Brothers U. | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 12 | Chattogram | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
| 13 | Dhaka Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
