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Bangladesh U20 vs Sri Lanka U20

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20 2024 Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Islam M.
85' Event
Nova M.

AI Match Summary

The SAFF Championship U20 2024 game between Bangladesh U20 and Sri Lanka U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangladesh U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bangladesh U20
6%
Draws
4%
Sri Lanka U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangladesh U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangladesh U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bangladesh U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bangladesh U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sri Lanka U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh U20 Sri Lanka U20
Matches Played 21 16
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Bangladesh U20 vs Sri Lanka U20
2:0
Jul 25, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Sri Lanka U20 vs Bangladesh U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Islam M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sri Lanka U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U20 85 / 100
Sri Lanka U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh U20 Sri Lanka U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangladesh U20 scored in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Sri Lanka U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 16 matches.

Bangladesh U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh U20 VS Sri Lanka U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh U20

(Home)
03 Apr
Bangladesh U20
1 : 0
India U20
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
28 Mar
Bangladesh U20
1 : 1
India U20
24 Mar
Bangladesh U20
2 : 0
Pakistan U20
29 Sept
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Bangladesh U20
Page 1 of 5

Sri Lanka U20

(Away)
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Maldives U20
2 : 3
Sri Lanka U20
29 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
1 : 1
Malaysia U20
25 Sept
Oman U20
5 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nepal U2022003:16
2Bangladesh U2021013:23
3Sri Lanka U2020020:30
4Pakistan U2000000:00
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1India U2022002:06
2Bhutan U2021012:23
3Maldives U2020021:30
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)