Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020

Sri Lanka U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bangladesh U23 play Sri Lanka U23 in the AFC Championship U23 2020. Bangladesh U23 are favorites here. Recently, Bangladesh U23 averaged 0.48 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Sri Lanka U23 averaged 0.17 goals scored and 3.94 conceded. In past meetings, Bangladesh U23 won 2, Sri Lanka U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 5, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.96 for Bangladesh U23 and 1.02 for Sri Lanka U23. This points to a Bangladesh U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Bangladesh U23

18%

Draws

23%

Sri Lanka U23

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bangladesh U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Bangladesh U23 picked up more points recently compared to Sri Lanka U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.96 vs 1.02 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%

Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 23%

Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bangladesh U23	Sri Lanka U23
Matches Played	31	18
Wins	4	0
Draws	6	3
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	0.48	0.17
Goals Conceded	1.74	3.94
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2019 Friendly International

Bangladesh U23 vs Sri Lanka U23

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Mar 26, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23

Bangladesh U23 vs Sri Lanka U23

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Badsha T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Sri Lanka U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15

Avg xA / game 0.09

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U23 58 / 100

Sri Lanka U23 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bangladesh U23 Sri Lanka U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Bangladesh U23 & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bangladesh U23 attacking → ← attacking Sri Lanka U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh U23 scored in 32% of their last 31 games.

Sri Lanka U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Bangladesh U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 3

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.17

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U23	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
2	Oman U23	3	2	1	0	5:3	7
3	Afghanistan U23	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Nepal U23	3	0	0	3	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahrain U23	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Palestine U23	3	2	1	10:2	6
3	Bangladesh U23	3	1	2	2:2	3
4	Sri Lanka U23	3	0	3	0:20	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	3	2	1	0	7:0	7
2	Iran U23	3	2	1	0	6:1	7
3	Turkmenistan U23	3	0	1	2	1:5	1
4	Yemen U23	3	0	1	2	0:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U23	3	2	1	0	10:2	7
2	Saudi Arabia U23	3	2	1	0	9:1	7
3	Lebanon U23	3	1	0	2	7:8	3
4	Maldives U23	3	0	0	3	0:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Syria U23	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
3	Kuwait U23	3	1	0	2	4:6	3
4	Kyrgyzstan U23	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U23	2	1	1	0	3:0	4
2	Tajikistan U23	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
3	India U23	2	0	0	2	0:5	0
4	Pakistan U23	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U23	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Singapore U23	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	Hong Kong U23	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	0	3	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	3	2	1	0	16:3	7
2	Australia U23	3	2	1	0	14:2	7
3	Cambodia U23	3	0	1	2	2:13	1
4	Chinese Taipei U23	3	0	1	2	1:15	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U23	3	3	0	21:0	9
2	Myanmar U23	3	2	1	11:7	6
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	2	5:16	3
4	Macau U23	3	0	3	3:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	China U23	3	2	1	0	15:2	7
2	Malaysia U23	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
3	Laos U23	3	1	0	2	3:8	3
4	Philippines U23	3	0	0	3	2:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U23	3	3	0	11:0	9
2	Thailand U23	3	2	1	12:4	6
3	Indonesia U23	3	1	2	2:6	3
4	Brunei U23	3	0	3	1:16	0