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Bangladesh U23 vs Sri Lanka U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ahmed B.
18' Event
Badsha T.

AI Match Summary

Bangladesh U23 in this AFC Championship U23 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangladesh U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Bangladesh U23
35%
Draws
9%
Sri Lanka U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangladesh U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Lanka U23 haven't matched Bangladesh U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bangladesh U23 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20%
Bangladesh U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangladesh U23 Sri Lanka U23
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 4 0
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.5 0.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2019 Friendly International
Bangladesh U23 vs Sri Lanka U23
1:0
Mar 26, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bangladesh U23 vs Sri Lanka U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangladesh U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badsha T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Sri Lanka U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh U23 95 / 100
Sri Lanka U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangladesh U23 Sri Lanka U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka U23 conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Bangladesh U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sri Lanka U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangladesh U23 VS Sri Lanka U23
0.25 Goals Scored 0.17
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.67
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangladesh U23

(Home)
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
09 Sept
Singapore U23
1 : 4
Bangladesh U23
06 Sept
Bangladesh U23
0 : 1
Yemen U23
Page 1 of 6

Sri Lanka U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
6 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
06 Sept
Sri Lanka U23
0 : 5
Palestine U23
03 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
29 Aug
Syria U23
3 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
27 Aug
Qatar U23
1 : 1
Sri Lanka U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Oman U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Yemen U23 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Syria U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
4 Pakistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Singapore U23 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
3 Cambodia U23 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:16 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)