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Friendly International 2025

Afghanistan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bangladesh play Afghanistan in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bangladesh averaged 1 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Afghanistan averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Bangladesh won 0, Afghanistan won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Nov 13, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Bangladesh and 0.88 for Afghanistan. This points to a Bangladesh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Bangladesh

35%

Draws

24%

Afghanistan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bangladesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Bangladesh picked up more points recently compared to Afghanistan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Bangladesh Clean Sheet 25%

Afghanistan Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bangladesh	Afghanistan
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	11	4
Draws	9	8
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1	0.54
Goals Conceded	1.44	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International

Bangladesh vs Afghanistan

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International

Bangladesh vs Afghanistan

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sep 3, 2023 Friendly International

Bangladesh vs Afghanistan

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Jun 3, 2021 World Championship

Bangladesh vs Afghanistan

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Sep 10, 2019 World Championship

Afghanistan vs Bangladesh

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangladesh 42 / 100

Afghanistan 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bangladesh Afghanistan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bangladesh or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bangladesh attacking → ← attacking Afghanistan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh scored in 53% of their last 34 games.

Afghanistan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bangladesh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afghanistan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 20

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00