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Bangor 1876 vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Bangor 1876 play Caersws FC in the Cymru North 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bangor 1876 averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. Caersws FC averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Bangor 1876 won 2, Caersws FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Bangor 1876 and 1.94 for Caersws FC. This points to a Caersws FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bangor 1876
22%
Draws
18%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Caersws FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bangor 1876.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Bangor 1876.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru North 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor 1876 Caersws FC
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws FC
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 FA Cup
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Caersws FC
2:0
Sep 23, 2023 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Bangor 1876
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangor 1876 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellison J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hesden R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rowlands T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor 1876 56 / 100
Caersws FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor 1876 Caersws FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Caersws FC let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bangor 1876 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Caersws FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor 1876 VS Caersws FC
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colwyn Bay30263188:2281
2Airbus UK Broughton FC302532102:3078
3Holywell Town FC30183956:4157
4Llandudno FC301541165:6049
5Buckley301451148:4747
6Guilsfield301361159:5245
7Flint Mountain301351268:5644
8Mold Alexandra301351252:4844
9Denbigh301271168:6243
10Penrhyncoch301171248:5240
11Gresford301151444:6738
12Caersws FC301041647:5534
13Ruthin Town30851740:5929
14Bangor 187630841846:6428
15Prestatyn30412538:10513
16Llay Welfare30352235:8411