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Bangor 1876 vs Penycae FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2019/2020
Sat, Oct 19, 2019
4 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The FA Cup 2019/2020 game between Bangor 1876 and Penycae FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangor 1876.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bangor 1876
6%
Draws
4%
Penycae FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangor 1876 come out ahead of Penycae FC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bangor 1876 taking it.
  • Cup games in FA Cup 2019/2020 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%
Penycae FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor 1876 Penycae FC
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 9 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 FA Cup
Bangor 1876 vs Penycae FC
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor 1876 83 / 100
Penycae FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor 1876 Penycae FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangor 1876 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Penycae FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bangor 1876 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor 1876 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town4
Cardiff Draconians1
Builth2
Ton Pentre3
Garden Village1
Goytre Utd3
Cefn Cribwr2
Tredegar Town1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chirk AAA FC0
Llannefydd3
Guilsfield2
Brymbo1
Cwmbran Celtic2
Pontardawe3
Croesyceiliog FC2
Abergavenny Town1
Holyhead4
Montgomery2
Blaenau0
Buckley2
Abertillery Bluebirds3
Penparcau FC1
Trefelin2
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido3
Monmouth1
Aberbargoed Buds3
Aberaeron1
Holywell Town FC2
Llandudno FC3
Mynydd Isa3
Llanfair United5
Penybont-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanberis FC0
Porthmadog7
Coedpoeth0
Gresford5
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontypridd United3
Caerau Ely1
Llantwit Major0
Llandrindod1
Greenfield3
Caersws FC1
Flint Town9
Four Crosses0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC2
Rhydymwyn0
Corwen2
Colwyn Bay3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Briton Ferry2
Undy3
Pure Swansea4
Caerleon1
Haverfordwest5
Penlan Club3
Cambrian United7
Ynyshir Albions3
Llanelli2
Cwmamman United1
Penrhyncoch2
Cardiff Corries1
Nefyn United0
Bangor City2
Llanrhaeadr1
Prestatyn4
TNS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Waterloo Rovers1
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberffraw0
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor 18764
Penycae FC3
Conwy Borough1
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl2
Llangefni0
Prestatyn Sports2
Queens Park3
Chepstow Town3
Taffs Well2
Cwmaman Institute2
STM Sports6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Ammanford Town3
Ton Pentre1
Goytre Utd6
Cefn Cribwr4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Llannefydd1
Guilsfield5
Pontardawe6
Croesyceiliog FC1
Holyhead0
Buckley3
Abertillery Bluebirds4
Llanidloes Town3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Afan Lido2
Aberbargoed Buds1
Llandudno FC4
Llanfair United1
Penybont-
TBD-
Porthmadog4
Gresford1
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Pontypridd United1
Llandrindod0
Greenfield1
Flint Town3
TBD-
Bala-
Nantlle Vale FC0
Colwyn Bay1
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Undy5
Pure Swansea6
Haverfordwest1
Cambrian United2
Llanelli0
Penrhyncoch1
Bangor City0
Prestatyn3
TNS-
TBD-
Mold Alexandra8
Llanrug1
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Bangor 18760
Ruthin Town2
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Newtown-
Rhyl3
Queens Park0
Chepstow Town0
STM Sports5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town0
Ammanford Town4
Goytre Utd0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Guilsfield0
Pontardawe3
Buckley1
Abertillery Bluebirds0
Connahs Q.3
Afan Lido5
Llandudno FC1
Penybont6
Porthmadog1
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Pontypridd United0
Flint Town2
Bala0
Colwyn Bay1
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Pure Swansea3
Cambrian United0
Penrhyncoch1
Prestatyn2
TNS9
Mold Alexandra0
Aberystwyth2
Ruthin Town1
Barry Town0
Newtown1
Rhyl2
STM Sports0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town0
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids2
Pontardawe0
Connahs Q.8
Afan Lido0
Penybont1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town3
Colwyn Bay2
Pure Swansea0
Prestatyn1
TNS4
Aberystwyth0
Newtown4
Rhyl1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon4
Cefn Druids0
Connahs Q.1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Flint Town0
Prestatyn1
TNS6
Newtown1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Prestatyn-
TNS-
Final
TBD-
TBD-