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Bangor Amateurs FC vs Newcastle

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Bangor Amateurs FC host Newcastle in the Irish Cup 2018/2019. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bangor Amateurs FC have averaged 0.83 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Newcastle's 2.25 scored and 2.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Bangor Amateurs FC have won 1 to Newcastle's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2018, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 2.21) point toward Newcastle. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bangor Amateurs FC
39%
Draws
30%
Newcastle
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bangor Amateurs FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Irish Cup 2018/2019 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bangor Amateurs FC Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor Amateurs FC Newcastle
Matches Played 6 17
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.83 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 Irish Cup
Bangor Amateurs FC vs Newcastle
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor Amateurs FC 30 / 100
Newcastle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor Amateurs FC Newcastle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor Amateurs FC scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Newcastle let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Bangor Amateurs FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Newcastle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor Amateurs FC VS Newcastle
0.83 Goals Scored 2.25
2.17 Goals Conceded 2.75
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Islandmagee6
Cookstown Youth1
Aquinas3
Foundry4
Moneyslane FC-
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Bangor Swifts1
Crumlin United2
Newtowne FC6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys3
Broomhedge1
Ballynahinch Olympic12
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Larne Technical Old Boys2
St Luke's0
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Dundonald-
Dunmurry Rec4
Mossley FC3
Iveagh Utd2
Dungiven5
Lurgan Town Boys-
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Ballynure Old Boys2
Desertmartin3
Armagh-
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Hanover0
Dunloy2
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St. James' Swifts2
Sofia Farmer1
Seapatrick1
Coagh Utd6
Ards Rangers-
TBD-
Holywood1
Newbuildings2
Banbridge-
TBD-
Dunmurry Y.M.4
Rathfriland Rangers5
Ballymoney2
Rosario Youth1
Derriaghy1
Strabane Athletic2
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
Dollingstown-
Ardstraw7
Dromore Amateurs0
TBD-
Tobermore-
Brantwood4
Orangefield Old Boys'2
Saintfield1
Laurelvale3
Valley Rangers3
Tandragee2
TBD-
Newington FC-
Comber Rec1
Immaculata0
Dromara1
Lisburn Rangers2
Downshire Y.M.-
TBD-
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Drumaness-
Shankill-
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Bangor Old Boys-
Wellington Rec-
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Lisburn Distillery-
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Maiden City9
Malachians2
Lower Maze2
Trojans3
Ballynahinch United3
Groomsport2
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Seagoe-
Lurgan Celtic-
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Woodvale2
St. Patricks Young3
Oxford Sunnyside6
Bryansburn3
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Portstewart-
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Dergview-
Crumlin Star-
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Markethill3
Killyleagh Youth5
Banbridge Rangers2
Sirocco0
Glebe1
Bangor FC2
Sport & Leisure-
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Ballymacash1
Kilmore Rec3
Moyola-
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Crewe-
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Dundela-
Abbey Villa-
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Chimney2
Grove5
Colin Valley2
Suffolk1
Silverwood1
Shorts8
Fivemiletown7
Bloomfield0
Oxford Stars0
Wakehurst1
Bangor Amateurs FC3
Newcastle2
Tullyvallen Rangers3
Tullycarnet4
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Crusaders-
1/128-finals
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Carrick Rangers-
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Islandmagee2
Foundry1
Moneyslane FC1
Crumlin United5
Newtowne FC1
Ballynahinch Olympic0
Annagh1
Rosemount Rec2
Cliftonville-
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Dungannon-
Larne Technical Old Boys3
Dundonald0
Dunmurry Rec1
Dungiven4
Lurgan Town Boys4
Desertmartin1
Armagh0
Dunloy2
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Limavady-
Knockbreda-
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St. James' Swifts4
Coagh Utd2
Ards Rangers0
Newbuildings2
Banbridge3
Rathfriland Rangers1
Ballymoney1
Strabane Athletic5
Queens University4
Dollingstown3
Ardstraw3
Tobermore5
Brantwood2
Laurelvale1
Valley Rangers1
Newington FC3
Comber Rec4
Lisburn Rangers1
Downshire Y.M.0
Drumaness4
Shankill2
Bangor Old Boys1
Wellington Rec0
Lisburn Distillery2
Institute-
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Harland & Wolff-
Maiden City3
Trojans1
Ballynahinch United3
Seagoe4
Lurgan Celtic-
St. Patricks Young-
Oxford Sunnyside-
Portstewart-
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Dergview-
Crumlin Star3
Killyleagh Youth2
Banbridge Rangers0
Bangor FC2
Sport & Leisure2
Kilmore Rec1
Moyola1
Crewe2
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Loughgall-
Newry City-
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Dundela-
Abbey Villa4
Grove3
Colin Valley3
Shorts4
Fivemiletown3
Wakehurst2
Bangor Amateurs FC0
Tullycarnet1
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Portadown-
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Crusaders-
1/64-finals
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Ards-
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Carrick Rangers-
Glenavon-
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Islandmagee3
Crumlin United1
Newtowne FC1
Rosemount Rec2
Cliftonville-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Dungiven1
Lurgan Town Boys1
Dunloy2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St. James' Swifts2
Newbuildings0
Banbridge0
Strabane Athletic2
Queens University6
Tobermore3
Brantwood2
Newington FC3
Comber Rec2
Drumaness1
Shankill2
Lisburn Distillery4
Institute-
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Warrenpoint-
Coleraine-
TBD-
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Harland & Wolff-
Maiden City4
Seagoe1
Lurgan Celtic2
Portstewart3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Crumlin Star5
Bangor FC3
Sport & Leisure0
Crewe1
TBD-
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Loughgall-
Newry City-
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Larne-
Ballymena-
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Dundela-
Abbey Villa3
Shorts1
Fivemiletown1
Tullycarnet2
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Portadown-
Linfield-
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Ballyclare-
Glentoran-
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Crusaders-
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard-
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TBD-
PSNI-
Ards-
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TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Glenavon-
TBD-
Islandmagee1
Rosemount Rec3
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Dunloy0
TBD-
Limavady-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
St. James' Swifts0
Strabane Athletic2
Queens University4
Newington FC1
Comber Rec3
Lisburn Distillery4
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Maiden City1
Portstewart0
TBD-
Dergview-
Crumlin Star2
Crewe1
TBD-
Loughgall-
Newry City-
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Larne-
Ballymena-
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TBD-
Dundela-
Abbey Villa4
Tullycarnet3
TBD-
Portadown-
Linfield-
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TBD-
Ballyclare-
Glentoran-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard5
PSNI1
Ards0
Carrick Rangers1
Glenavon5
Rosemount Rec0
Cliftonville0
Dungannon1
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Limavady0
Knockbreda1
Strabane Athletic2
Queens University6
Lisburn Distillery0
Institute0
Warrenpoint2
Coleraine2
Harland & Wolff0
Maiden City2
Dergview3
Crumlin Star4
Loughgall1
Newry City1
Larne2
Ballymena3
Dundela1
Abbey Villa1
Portadown5
Linfield1
Ballyclare0
Glentoran1
Crusaders4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard1
Carrick Rangers0
Glenavon0
Dungannon1
Larne Technical Old Boys3
Strabane Athletic1
Queens University0
Warrenpoint2
Coleraine3
Dergview0
Crumlin Star1
Larne3
Ballymena4
Portadown1
Linfield1
Crusaders2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard3
Dungannon2
Larne Technical Old Boys1
Warrenpoint3
Coleraine5
Larne3
Ballymena0
Crusaders3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard1
Warrenpoint0
Coleraine0
Crusaders2
Final
Ballinamallard0
Crusaders3