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Bangor FC vs Ards

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McCullough S.
70' Event
Morgan M.

AI Match Summary

Bangor FC in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangor FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bangor FC
30%
Draws
31%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bangor FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ards have won more games recently than Bangor FC.
  • Bangor FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 14%
Ards Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor FC Ards
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Bangor FC vs Ards
2:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Bangor FC vs Ards
0:3
Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Championship
Bangor FC vs Ards
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Bangor FC
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 NIFL Championship
Bangor FC vs Ards
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangor FC Compare

Top Goalscorer McCullough S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ards Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor FC 48 / 100
Ards 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor FC Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangor FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bangor FC scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Ards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bangor FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor FC VS Ards
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
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Ards

(Away)
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0
Ards
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
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