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Bangor FC vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Own Goal
17' Event
23' Event

AI Match Summary

Ballymoney in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bangor FC
6%
Draws
4%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bangor FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballymoney have won more games recently than Bangor FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bangor FC taking it.
  • Ballymoney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymoney, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 17%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor FC Ballymoney
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2012 Irish Cup
Bangor FC vs Ballymoney
2:4
Feb 12, 2011 NIFL Championship
Bangor FC vs Ballymoney
2:2
Sep 4, 2010 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Bangor FC
2:2
Apr 24, 2010 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Bangor FC
2:2
Mar 2, 2010 NIFL Championship
Bangor FC vs Ballymoney
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor FC 84 / 100
Ballymoney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor FC Ballymoney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballymoney conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Bangor FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Bangor FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangor FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Oxford Sunnyside
1 : 5
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Moyola
1 : 2
Bangor FC
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
11 Jul
Queens University
5 : 2
Bangor FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Ballymoney

(Away)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobermore-
Wakehurst-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Downpatrick0
Islandmagee1
Rathfriland Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Donegal-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Ards-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Newington FC4
Sirocco3
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
Immaculata2
Crumlin Star0
TBD-
Banbridge-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Portstewart-
Iveagh Utd2
Wellington Rec1
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Derriaghy1
Ballynahinch United0
TBD-
Queens University-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Coagh Utd-
TBD-
Mountjoy0
Banbridge Rangers3
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Dunmurry Rec4
Bangor Old Boys0
Foundry1
Ards Rangers3
Armagh-
TBD-
Dromara1
Newbuildings6
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
1/32-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff0
Warrenpoint1
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Ballinamallard3
Tobermore1
Wakehurst0
Dundela2
Larne Technical Old Boys6
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Coleraine-
Donegal-
TBD-
Limavady0
Institute2
Ards3
Annagh0
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Newington FC3
Glebe0
TBD-
Glentoran-
Larne3
PSNI0
TBD-
Dungannon-
Newry City6
Sport & Leisure1
Immaculata1
Banbridge4
Bangor FC3
Portstewart0
Iveagh Utd1
Ballymoney4
Derriaghy2
Queens University0
Knockbreda1
Dergview5
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Coagh Utd1
Banbridge Rangers0
Chimney0
Loughgall5
Dunmurry Rec3
Ards Rangers2
Armagh0
Newbuildings3
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
Moyola1
Killymoon3
Ballyclare2
Lurgan Celtic1
TBD-
Linfield-
1/16-finals
Crusaders3
Warrenpoint0
Portadown1
Glenavon2
Ballinamallard3
Dundela0
Larne Technical Old Boys2
Coleraine3
Donegal2
Institute1
Ards0
Cliftonville2
Newington FC1
Glentoran0
Larne1
Dungannon3
Newry City1
Banbridge0
Bangor FC2
Ballymoney4
Derriaghy1
Dergview0
Lisburn Distillery1
Ballymena2
Coagh Utd4
Loughgall3
Dunmurry Rec1
Newbuildings4
Carrick Rangers3
Killymoon1
Ballyclare1
Linfield7
1/8-finals
Crusaders4
Glenavon0
Ballinamallard0
Coleraine3
Donegal1
Cliftonville0
Newington FC0
Dungannon3
Newry City6
Ballymoney1
Derriaghy1
Ballymena3
Coagh Utd5
Newbuildings2
Carrick Rangers1
Linfield5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders2
Coleraine0
Donegal1
Dungannon2
Newry City3
Ballymena0
Coagh Utd0
Linfield4
Semi-finals
Crusaders1
Dungannon0
Newry City0
Linfield7
Final
Crusaders1
Linfield4