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Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Clandeboye Park
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Lynch H. In: Haughey M.
Out: Lynch H.
40' Event
Gibson D.
45' Event
Gibson D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bangor FC
40%
Draws
29%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Bangor FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangor FC Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
3:2
Oct 31, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers
0:1
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangor FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangor FC 30 / 100
Carrick Rangers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangor FC Carrick Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Bangor FC scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bangor FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bangor FC VS Carrick Rangers
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Carrick Rangers381581564:5853
8Portadown381352044:6644
9Ballymena381091946:5839
10Bangor FC381091941:6539
11Crusaders381062248:8136
12Glenavon38842637:6928