Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Martins J. V.
69'
69'
Jaja
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Bangu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Bangu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Bangu Clean Sheet 18%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bangu | Olaria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Bangu vs Olaria
1:1
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Bangu
2:0
May 17, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Bangu
0:2
Jan 27, 2013 Carioca
Olaria vs Bangu
0:2
Feb 29, 2012 Carioca
Bangu vs Olaria
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bangu Compare
Top Goalscorer Martins J. V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48
Olaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaja
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bangu 32 / 100
Olaria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bangu Olaria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangu's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Bangu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Olaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bangu VS Olaria
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bangu
(Home) 22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1 Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1 Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0 Volta Redonda
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22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0 Volta Redonda
08 Feb
Bangu
1 : 1 Boavista
17 Jan
Bangu
0 : 1 Madureira
15 Jan
Bangu
2 : 1 Flamengo RJ
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Olaria
(Away) 12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0 Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1 Bonsucesso
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12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1 Olaria
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0 Olaria
17 Jun
Duque de Caxias
0 : 2 Olaria
06 Jun
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Olaria
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 1
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
