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Bangu vs Zinza

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2024
Wed, Aug 28, 2024
0 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ronaldo
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Zinza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Bangu
35%
Draws
40%
Zinza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zinza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bangu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zinza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Bangu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zinza, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bangu Clean Sheet 29%
Zinza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bangu Zinza
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Copa Rio
Bangu vs Zinza
0:2
Aug 21, 2024 Copa Rio
Zinza vs Bangu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bangu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Zinza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bangu 18 / 100
Zinza 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bangu Zinza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zinza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangu's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Bangu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zinza let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bangu VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bangu

(Home)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

Zinza

(Away)
14 Nov
Campo Grande
3 : 2
Zinza
10 Nov
Zinza
1 : 0
Bonsucesso
07 Nov
Uni Souza
0 : 4
Zinza
03 Nov
Zinza
0 : 0
Serra Macaense
28 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 1
Zinza
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Marica 4
Portuguesa RJ 3
Goncalense 0
Audax RJ 7
America RJ 1
Volta Redonda 3
Serrano FC 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Zinza 2
Bangu 1
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 1
Olaria 6
Boavista 3
Cabofriense 2
Resende 1
Quarter-finals
Marica 1
Audax RJ 0
Volta Redonda 3
Serrano FC 2
Zinza 4
Bonsucesso 1
Olaria 2
Cabofriense 0
Semi-finals
Marica 3
Volta Redonda 2
Zinza 0
Olaria 2
Final
Marica 1
Olaria 0