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Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Bansko and Balkan Botevgrad finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balkan Botevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bansko
15%
Draws
27%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bansko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Balkan Botevgrad's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Bansko have produced (1.41).
  • Win probability leans Bansko's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bansko Clean Sheet 18%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bansko Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Bansko
3:3
Apr 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Bansko
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bansko 85 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bansko Balkan Botevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Bansko remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bansko scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Balkan Botevgrad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bansko VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bansko

(Home)
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1
Pirin Razlog
08 Aug
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2
Bansko
01 Aug
Bansko
3 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6

Balkan Botevgrad

(Away)
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)